Search found 559 matches
- Thu Jan 09, 2003 6:32 am
- Forum: FIRE Board
- Topic: Hypothetical Y2K retiree update
- Replies: 12
- Views: 11133
- Wed Dec 25, 2002 4:48 pm
- Forum: FIRE Board
- Topic: How long a retirement?
- Replies: 7
- Views: 8314
- Tue Dec 24, 2002 4:31 am
- Forum: FIRE Board
- Topic: How long a retirement?
- Replies: 7
- Views: 8314
- Tue Dec 24, 2002 2:33 am
- Forum: FIRE Board
- Topic: For Hocus
- Replies: 38
- Views: 27812
- Mon Dec 23, 2002 4:18 pm
- Forum: FIRE Board
- Topic: How long a retirement?
- Replies: 7
- Views: 8314
- Mon Dec 23, 2002 12:55 pm
- Forum: FIRE Board
- Topic: How long a retirement?
- Replies: 7
- Views: 8314
How long a retirement?
median remaining life expectancy of 30 years is attained for white males at age 48 and at age 52 for females. http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/lt2000.pdf The CDC data don't allow you to look at basic risk factors (like smoking.) Looking at 30 year portfolio survival seems inadequate to me (especially fo...
- Fri Dec 20, 2002 1:00 pm
- Forum: FIRE Board
- Topic: For Hocus
- Replies: 38
- Views: 27812
Hocus, I think that you and the many astute posters here have absorbed much/all of the lessons of the TMF board. I am willing to learn from the master of FIRE who are here. I don't see much new of value at TMF although I don't mind going back to post until my term expires. Clearly there is more than...
- Fri Dec 20, 2002 9:42 am
- Forum: FIRE Board
- Topic: For Hocus
- Replies: 38
- Views: 27812
- Thu Dec 19, 2002 7:45 am
- Forum: FIRE Board
- Topic: PE (10 years average earnings) and historic SWR
- Replies: 20
- Views: 20936
When BenSolar says that switching does not significantly raise the SWR, I believe that what he means is that it does not raise it above the 4 percent advertised figure. although early indications suggest that switching might have been of benefit to retirees in 2000 (we will have to wait to 2030 for...
- Sun Dec 15, 2002 4:56 pm
- Forum: FIRE Board
- Topic: Of tainted history, data torture, and faux SWR's
- Replies: 26
- Views: 22542
Is intercst saying that it is impossible that a future 30 year swr will be in the 2% range? William Bernstein seems to think that future returns will be lower and that 2% would be safe. Bogle, Buffett and others seem to be predicting low stock returns. If we truly had hundreds of independent data po...
- Tue Dec 10, 2002 8:32 am
- Forum: FIRE Board
- Topic: My REHP Post on Our Upcoming Debate on SWRs
- Replies: 11
- Views: 11555
- Tue Dec 10, 2002 3:30 am
- Forum: FIRE Board
- Topic: My REHP Post on Our Upcoming Debate on SWRs
- Replies: 11
- Views: 11555
- Mon Dec 09, 2002 1:59 pm
- Forum: FIRE Board
- Topic: Importance of the sequence of returns for calculating SWR
- Replies: 34
- Views: 28941
using an 800x600 I am think a width up to about 600 can be supported. This will work for images that we upload to anoter site but in terms of linking to other images you sort of get what you have. For some reason when I postred this 600 pixel wide image the text is wider than the image. :cry: Maybe ...
- Mon Dec 09, 2002 6:20 am
- Forum: FIRE Board
- Topic: Importance of the sequence of returns for calculating SWR
- Replies: 34
- Views: 28941
I haven't been able to post tables because all the spacing has been removed (I am not sure if it a limitation of the board or my fault.) I have posted links to wide jpgs that have resulted in a need to scroll. I don't know how th tell in advance if this will happen. I have been amusing myself (at le...
- Mon Dec 09, 2002 6:11 am
- Forum: FIRE Board
- Topic: Datamining in Intercst SWR Study
- Replies: 20
- Views: 18164
here's a source on what data mining is: www.investorhome.com/mining.htm I was left with the impression that data mining was useful for hypothesis generation but out of sample testing is required for confirmation. The TMF crew data mined and curve fit and then applied statistics as if they were anal...
- Sat Dec 07, 2002 4:54 am
- Forum: FIRE Board
- Topic: Importance of the sequence of returns for calculating SWR
- Replies: 34
- Views: 28941
- Wed Dec 04, 2002 2:24 am
- Forum: FIRE Board
- Topic: Repeated post: FIRE The Dual Portfolio Approach
- Replies: 5
- Views: 6390
- Mon Dec 02, 2002 11:25 am
- Forum: FIRE Board
- Topic: Update on TMF Retire Early Board Saga
- Replies: 14
- Views: 12027
- Tue Nov 26, 2002 11:53 am
- Forum: FIRE Board
- Topic: What does "FIRE" stand for?
- Replies: 7
- Views: 8328
Joe Dominguez
It is worth noting that the investment advice in 'Your Money or Your Life' is outdated. At the time 100% bond investment was good because returns were in the 14% area per annum. Dominguez stuck with his investment advice (he died btw) even when times changed and some fresh thinking was needed. I th...