Search found 98 matches
- Sun Jul 03, 2005 10:03 pm
- Forum: Town Center
- Topic: Rob Bennett's web site
- Replies: 18
- Views: 25054
my fault for dredging it up or jrw's for posting links to hocsu's web site and trying to help him sell his book? I'm not assigning fault. Just saying that I would be just as happy if nobody discussed any aspect of that old issue, or responded to other people discussing it. (With which, I will hence...
- Sat Jul 02, 2005 2:40 pm
- Forum: Town Center
- Topic: Rob Bennett's web site
- Replies: 18
- Views: 25054
- Mon May 02, 2005 6:26 am
- Forum: FIRE Board
- Topic: A TIPS Ladder Example
- Replies: 103
- Views: 742853
- Tue Jan 18, 2005 11:24 pm
- Forum: SWR Research Group
- Topic: GARCH
- Replies: 171
- Views: 118846
I still don't understand those chart labels :twisted: Are there two-count-em-two HDBR50 Fits ? PS#1: Yes, that is a glitch. The bottom line (magenta or reddish purple) should be labeled HDBR80. [It would have been better if the data and the lines had shared the same colors.] Sorry about the typo in...
- Sat Sep 25, 2004 9:21 pm
- Forum: SWR Research Group
- Topic: The Next Great Bubble Boom
- Replies: 8
- Views: 11997
Hi unclemick, The American dollar has been falling for a while now - some posters (On other forums) who are ex pat and have to pay their bills in 'stronger' currencies are beginning to notice/feel some pain. Of course, those of us who are paid in 'stronger' currencies and regularly buy dollars are n...
- Fri Sep 24, 2004 8:01 pm
- Forum: SWR Research Group
- Topic: The Next Great Bubble Boom
- Replies: 8
- Views: 11997
Hi Mac, BPP, can you detail how they are handling the phase-in? Do benefits start dropping immediately? Are people who are already retirement age grandfathered into the old benefit levels, or does everyone get hit? Your question prompted me to look up Japan's Social Insurance Agency webpage, where I...
- Thu Sep 23, 2004 2:58 pm
- Forum: SWR Research Group
- Topic: The Next Great Bubble Boom
- Replies: 8
- Views: 11997
It is a good idea to look at how European countries and Japan handle their retirement systems. This will provide us an indication of what might happen to Social Security in the United States. I can tell you what Japan is doing. Legislation was passed a few months ago that will raise the social secu...
- Tue Aug 03, 2004 12:23 am
- Forum: Town Center
- Topic: Some people are jerks, but you never knew it ;-(
- Replies: 41
- Views: 55862
- Sun Aug 01, 2004 5:04 pm
- Forum: Town Center
- Topic: Some people are jerks, but you never knew it ;-(
- Replies: 41
- Views: 55862
unclemick, don't think you will see much data. Yes, the issue is not Total Market vs Slice-and-Dice, or The-One-True-SWR-For-Fluffy-Kittens-and-Puppies vs The-Axis-of-Evil-of-the-False-SWR. It is really all just about personality conflicts. Nobody actually seems to disagree passionately enough abou...
- Fri Jul 09, 2004 8:25 pm
- Forum: FIRE Board
- Topic: squared one- from the beating a dead horse department
- Replies: 62
- Views: 87118
- Thu Jul 08, 2004 2:51 pm
- Forum: FIRE Board
- Topic: squared one- from the beating a dead horse department
- Replies: 62
- Views: 87118
Sigh. Ok, first Hocus: No, I will not join your campaign against Intercst. I have nothing personally against the guy, and don't even post to any of the same message boards that he does. His study is very simple-minded, with clearly spelled out limitations, which while it does not provide an actionab...
- Thu Jul 08, 2004 2:49 am
- Forum: FIRE Board
- Topic: squared one- from the beating a dead horse department
- Replies: 62
- Views: 87118
The one item on which you are going very much off the rails is in your suggestion that, because the JWR1945 methodology has not been proven out, it is reasonable to continue to consider the methodology used in the REHP study as valid. This simply does not follow. That's also not what I said. I thin...
- Thu Jul 08, 2004 2:39 am
- Forum: FIRE Board
- Topic: squared one- from the beating a dead horse department
- Replies: 62
- Views: 87118
- Thu Jul 08, 2004 2:16 am
- Forum: FIRE Board
- Topic: squared one- from the beating a dead horse department
- Replies: 62
- Views: 87118
SG, 3) You have not provided any justification or cause-and-effect analysis to explain why the PE10-SWR correlation is or should be linear in the range of observed data. If you bother to look at this, you will see that it doesn't look linear and that it is better fit to a decaying exponential or to ...
- Thu Jul 08, 2004 2:05 am
- Forum: FIRE Board
- Topic: squared one- from the beating a dead horse department
- Replies: 62
- Views: 87118
- Wed Jul 07, 2004 6:37 pm
- Forum: SWR Research Group
- Topic: Definitions
- Replies: 22
- Views: 24817
- Wed Jul 07, 2004 2:39 pm
- Forum: SWR Research Group
- Topic: Definitions
- Replies: 22
- Views: 24817
- Tue Jul 06, 2004 2:50 pm
- Forum: SWR Research Group
- Topic: Definitions
- Replies: 22
- Views: 24817
Hi John R., Here is an example of why I dislike one-sided statistical tests. Sure, mixing your definitions can be confusing. But I think in the case of SWR, the commonsense definition would be the one-sided one, since as I said, failure can only happen in one direction. If you tell me that you think...
- Mon Jul 05, 2004 10:56 pm
- Forum: FIRE Board
- Topic: squared one- from the beating a dead horse department
- Replies: 62
- Views: 87118
Hi Petey, The reference for this is probably long gone. It was definitely US war bonds though. To make sure we're talking about the same thing, these are World War II War Bonds? Also known as Defense Bonds, Victory Bonds, and after the war as E and then EE Bonds (which are also labelled Patriot Bond...
- Mon Jul 05, 2004 4:00 pm
- Forum: FIRE Board
- Topic: squared one- from the beating a dead horse department
- Replies: 62
- Views: 87118